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Journal of Banking and Finance


• Bayesian Model Average; • Banking risk; • Bank stock returns


  1. L. Baele
  2. V. De Bruyckere
  3. O. De Jonghe
  4. R. Vander Vennet


    1. BANKING
    2. FINANCE


      This paper uses Bayesian Model Averaging to examine the driving factors of equity returns of US Bank Holding Companies. BMA has as an advantage over OLS that it accounts for the considerable uncertainty about the correct set (model) of bank risk factors. We find that out of a broad set of 12 risk factors only the market, real estate, and high-minus-low Fama–French factors are reliably related to US bank stock returns over the period 1986–2010. Other factors are either only relevant over specific subperiods or for subsets of bank holding companies. We discuss the implications of our findings for empirical banking research.


      Vol 53, Tahun 2015


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